FACETs: Applications for Winter Weather (61)

Alan Gerard, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK

Jeff Waldstreicher, NOAA/NWS/ERH

James Nelson, NOAA/NWS/WPC



Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs) is a proposed next-generation weather watch and warning framework that is modern, flexible, and designed to communicate clear and simple hazardous weather information to serve the public. This initiative originated in the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) with a focus on severe convective weather and flash flooding. Over the last several years, NSSL has worked closely with partners in the National Weather Service, emergency management, and America's Weather Enterprise to develop a plan to enable FACETs to move the hazardous weather service programs for severe weather and flash flooding from the current focus on binary, deterministic information to a system based on probabilistic hazard information (PHI) that will form an information continuum at all temporal scales. FACETs also strives to fully integrate social science into this transformative process from the outset, ensuring that a new PHI centric system would result in improved societal outcomes.

In 2016, NWS and OAR held a joint meeting to begin development of plans and initiatives to expand FACETs from its initial focus on convection to encompass all NWS service program areas. NSSL has been working with partners in other OAR labs, NWS Eastern Region, the Weather Prediction Center, and academic collaboratorsto develop physical and social science research-to-operations projects to facilitate FACETs expansion into winter weather applications. This presentation will summarize these efforts and will explore possible FACETs winter weather prototype products and services. Consistent with the FACETs paradigm, this will include potential applications at all time and space scales.