FACETs: Final Results from Initial R2O Projects and New Initiatives (226)

Alan Gerard, OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK



Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs) is a proposed next-generation hazardous weather watch and warning framework that is modern, flexible, and designed to communicate clear and simple hazardous weather information to serve the public. This initiative originated in the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) with a focus on severe convective weather and flash flooding. In 2015, a US Weather Research Program (USWRP) grant was awarded to NSSL, along with collaborators at the Storm Prediction Center, Weather Prediction Center, Environmental Systems Research Lab, University of Oklahoma, and University of Akron, to begin the initial physical and social science research projects necessary to begin to make the FACETs vision a reality for severe weather and flash flood hazardous weather services. This three-year project of projects, called &ldquoProbability of What? Understanding and Conveying Uncertainty through Probabilistic Hazard Services&rdquo (PoW), has yielded important initial results in its first eighteen months. This presentation will provide details on the final results from the PoW project, and summarize new R2O initiatives to build upon PoW. This will include a summary of a new Strategic Science and Implementation Plan which is currently being developed jointly by OAR and NWS.