FACETs: Final Results from Initial R2O Projects and
New Initiatives (226)
Alan Gerard, OAR/NSSL,
Norman, OK
Abstract:
Forecasting a Continuum of
Environmental Threats (FACETs) is a proposed next-generation hazardous weather
watch and warning framework that is modern, flexible, and designed to
communicate clear and simple hazardous weather information to serve the public.
This initiative originated in the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) with
a focus on severe convective weather and flash flooding. In 2015, a US Weather
Research Program (USWRP) grant was awarded to NSSL, along with collaborators at
the Storm Prediction Center, Weather Prediction Center, Environmental Systems
Research Lab, University of Oklahoma, and University of Akron, to begin the
initial physical and social science research projects necessary to begin to
make the FACETs vision a reality for severe weather and flash flood hazardous
weather services. This three-year project of projects, called
&ldquoProbability of What? Understanding and Conveying Uncertainty through
Probabilistic Hazard Services&rdquo (PoW), has yielded important initial
results in its first eighteen months. This presentation will provide details on
the final results from the PoW project, and summarize new R2O initiatives to
build upon PoW. This will include a summary of a new Strategic Science and
Implementation Plan which is currently being developed jointly by OAR and NWS.