Leading a Structured Forecast Process to Help Implement the Central Region WRN Roadmap: The ForecastBuilder Program (56)

Andrew Just, National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO

Charles Greif, National Weather Service

Jerry Wiedenfeld, National Weather Service

 

Abstract:

Leading a Structured Forecast Process to Help Implement the Central Region WRN Roadmap: The ForecastBuilder Program

Andrew Just (NWS CRH, Kansas City, MO), Charles Greif (NWS Jackson, KY), Jerry Wiedenfeld (NWS Milwaukee, WI)

The Central Region (CR) Weather-Ready Nation (WRN) Roadmap identifies three important &ldquoevolution&rdquo pillars to guide the region forward into the future of Impact-Based Decision Support Services (IDSS): culture, consistency, and science. Prior to the development of the Roadmap, NWS offices in CR exhibited significant differences with respect to these key pillars. In order to produce consistent, effective, and reliable IDSS, all NWS offices need to function in a similar manner with a high level of partner engagement enabled through a suite of robust, regionally supported tools.

In 2016, the ForecastBuilder program was developed in CR to expand on our existing day 4-7 population tool and to address consistency issues between offices regarding snow and ice accumulations. Through feedback and further enhancements, ForecastBuilder became much bigger than the sum of its parts. The program grew into a forecast management tool and a delivery vehicle for the National Blend of Models, impacting culture while tapping into the most current research and ongoing strong science development across the NWS and elsewhere. The net outcome was improved consistency and greater efficiency throughout the entire forecast process thus laying a foundation for consistent IDSS and forecast messaging.